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Network Design Decisions Using Decision Trees?
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  • A manager must make many different decisions when designing a supply chain network
  • Many of them involve a choice between a long-term (or less flexible) option and a short-term (or more flexible) option
  • If uncertainty is ignored, the long-term option will almost always be selected because it is typically cheaper
  • Such a decision can eventually hurt the firm, however, because actual future prices or demand may be different from what was forecasted at the time of the decision
  • A decision tree is a graphic device that can be used to evaluate decisions under uncertainty
  • Combine strategic planning and financial planning during network design
  • Use multiple metrics to evaluate supply chain networks
  • Use financial analysis as an input to decision making, not as the decision-making process
  • Use estimates along with sensitivity analysis.
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