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What is the probability of completing the project

The Three time estimate for different activities of a project are given below:-

Activity T0 Tm Tp
1-2 2 5 8
2-3 4 9 20
2-4 4 7 16
2-5 8 11 20
3-6 3 7 17
4-6 7 10 13
4-5 0 0 0
5-7 3 5 13
6-7 2 3 10
7-8 2 4 6
Z -2 -1 0 1 2
P % -2.28 15.87 50 84.13 97.72

What is the probability of completing the project in 35 Days?


1 Answer
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Step 1 :-

For critical activity only

σ=tpto6

Activity T0 Tm Tp te=t0+4tm+tp6 σ σ2
1-2 2 5 8 5 1 1
2-3 4 9 20 6    
2-4 4 7 16 8 2 4
2-5 8 11 20 12    
3-6 …

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